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Ukraine counter-offensive against Russia yields only small gains in first 2 months

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Ukraine counter-offensive against Russia yields only small gains in first 2 months

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WATCH: BBC security correspondent Frank Gardner looks at the key evidence

By Frank Gardner & Jake Horton

BBC security correspondent & BBC Verify

The war in Ukraine has reached a critical point. Where it goes from here could decide the country’s future and affect the security of Europe.

In the 18 months since Russia invaded, the Ukrainians have mostly been on the defensive, preventing Moscow’s forces from seizing more territory.

But this summer, Ukraine – with the help of billions of pounds of Western military equipment – has gone on the attack, attempting to expel the Russians from land they previously captured in the east and south of the country.

Two months into this counter-offensive, and with time of the essence before the onset of winter, are Ukrainian troops making any real progress?

Working with BBC Verify, we have analysed video of the fighting and spoken to experts to try to answer that question.

One look at a large-scale map of eastern and southern Ukraine shows that not much has changed in the two months since the counter-offensive began.

Russia still occupies nearly one-fifth of Ukraine – including the cities of Donetsk, in the east, and Mariupol, which it captured after months of siege – and its forces are well dug in.

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