Arizona U.S. Senate Election Results
Arizona U.S. Senate Election Results
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Senator Mark Kelly, a Democrat and former astronaut who built a national profile as a gun safety advocate, is being challenged by the Republican Blake Masters, a political newcomer and Trump-backed venture capitalist.
Latest results from 4m ago
70% OF VOTES IN
| Candidate | Party | Votes | PercentPct. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Kelly*incumbent | Democrat | 979,509 | +51.4%51.4% | |
| Blake Masters | Republican | 884,191 | +46.4%46.4 | |
| Marc Victor | Libertarian | 40,811 | +2.1%2.1 | |
| Total reported | 1,904,511 | |||
| *Incumbent |
Timing of results
Most people were expected to vote early — by mail, in-person or by drop box. Those ballots require the verification of voters’ signatures, and officials said the timing of results would depend on how many people returned their ballots at the last minute on Election Day.TucsonPhoenixTucsonPhoenix
Dem.
50
60
70
Rep.
50
60
70
Where votes have been reported and where votes remain
These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the reported vote and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each county.
Votes reported
TucsonPhoenixTucsonPhoenix
LEADER
Kelly
Masters
Circle size is proportional to the amount each county’s leading candidate is ahead.
Estimated votes remaining
TucsonPhoenixTucsonPhoenix
We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9. These estimates will no longer be updated.
| County | Margin | Votes | Percent of votes in% In |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | Kelly +8 | 1,129,073 | 73% |
| Pima | Kelly +24 | 273,959 | 63% |
| Pinal | Masters +11 | 115,558 | 82% |
| Yavapai | Masters +22 | 101,711 | 85% |
| Mohave | Masters +45 | 71,204 | 85% |
| Coconino | Kelly +29 | 40,501 | 73% |
| + View all |
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Live forecast: Estimating the outcome
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9. These estimates will no longer be updated.
Our best estimate is the race is leaning toward Kelly.
How our estimated margin has changed so far
The lines below show how the reported margin (dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (solid line surrounded by an estimate of uncertainty). As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new vote data, our forecast is more trustworthy.
EST. MARGIN
Best guess
50% of outcomes
95%+15+10+5Even+5+1010 PM11 PM12 AM1 AM2 AMNov. 94 AM5 AM+7.1 Reported+2.8 NYT Est.2:59 PM ET
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Estimated share of total votes reported
20%40%60%80%100%10 PM11 PM12 AM1 AM2 AMNov. 94 AM5 AM
