2024 Presidential Race Stays Static In The Face Of Major Events, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; RFK Jr. Receives 22% As Independent Candidate In 3-Way Race
- GENERAL ELECTION
- GENERAL ELECTION WITH INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES
- 2024 VOTING ENTHUSIASM
- HOUSE SPEAKER
- GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN THREAT
- Poll Questions
Following a month marked by a war breaking out between Israel and Hamas, global tensions ratcheting up, a mass shooting, and a former president in court for a civil fraud trial, both the 2024 presidential primary races for each party and the general election race show little change, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea- ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
In the Republican primary race, former President Donald Trump receives 64 percent support among Republican and Republican leaning voters, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis with 15 percent support; former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley with 8 percent support; and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy with 3 percent support each. All other listed Republican candidates receive 1 percent or less support.
Among Republican and Republican leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Republican presidential primary, 46 percent say they are firmly set on their choice for the Republican nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Republican primary, while 52 percent say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the Republican primary.
In the Democratic primary race, President Joe Biden receives 77 percent support among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, followed by author Marianne Williamson with 8 percent support, U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips with 6 percent support, and political commentator Cenk Uygur with 2 percent support.
Among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, 34 percent say they are firmly set on their choice for the Democratic nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Democratic primary, while 63 percent say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the Democratic primary.
In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between President Biden and former President Trump, 47 percent of registered voters support Biden, while 46 percent support Trump, a virtual dead heat. This is unchanged from Quinnipiac University’s August and September national polls.
In today’s poll, Democrats support Biden 94 – 4 percent and Republicans support Trump 94 – 4 percent. Independents are split, with 45 percent supporting Trump and 44 percent supporting Biden.
“Trump goes to war with the American legal system, while Biden wrestles with military conflicts on two fronts. Despite the swirling tumult, the partisan criticism, and rancor, the two candidates are still as tied as tied can be,”said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.